... i ja sam gledao sad, izgleda da će biti baš dobrih količina do subote ujutru ...
ESTOFEX je izdao upozorenje prvog stepena za naše krajeve (moguća obilna kiša, grad, konvekcije sa grmljavinom, jak vjetar ...) uz propratnu analizu :Southern Adriatic Sea region :
A strong west-southwesterly flow affects the central Mediterranean. A jet streak curving around the base of the European trough will cause QG forcing spreading into the Balkans late in the period together with warm air advection from the south-west. At low levels, a southerly flow is indicated by latest models that will be associated with increasing boundary-layer moisture over the southern Adriatic Sea region.
Current thinking is that convection is likely along the mountains east of the Adriatic Sea. Upslope flow will likely enable deep moist convection that will be possible from the afternoon into the night hours. Deep layer vertical wind shear of 20 m/s will be adequate for organized storms, and locally severe weather is forecast.
Large hail and severe wind gusts seem to be the main threat. Excessive precipitation is also not ruled out.